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Field Poll on gay marriage: Have the people changed their minds?

May 29, 2008 |  4:54 pm

Field poll indicates Californians approve of California Supreme Court ruling striking down gay marriage banLast week's Dust-Up on the future of gay marriage drew many comments from three groups of objectors to the California Supreme Court's ending of the ban on same-sex marriage: Those who quoted Bible passages, those who suggested people start marrying their pets, and those outraged that the court had subverted "the will of the people." Glen Lavy made the case for the people's will on Day 1 of the weeklong debate, though many commenters brought up the counterexample of Jim Crow.

But opponents of gay marriage could be finding themselves on the wrong side of vox populi. According to a Field Poll released yesterday, a majority of Californians now favor giving rights to same-sex couples — and oppose a ban on gay marriage. A Times/KTLA survey conducted earlier this month suggested a somewhat different political climate, but if the will of these "people" we keep hearing about is in fact shifting, that would be bad news for opponents, who are looking to put another ban on the November ballot.

The Sacramento Bee points to explanations for this dramatic shift in opinion, and an LA Times profile on conservative Chief Justice Ronald M. George helps explain what swayed the court:

... as he read the legal arguments, the 68-year-old moderate Republican was drawn by memory to a long ago trip he made with his European immigrant parents through the American South. There, the signs warning "No Negro" or "No colored" left "quite an indelible impression on me," he recalled in a wide-ranging interview Friday.

Tim Rutten cites the rising tide of the youth vote, drawn away from their iPods by the baritone of Barack Obama. Perhaps, in a very race-conscious political season, the comparisons to the state court's ruling 60 years ago striking down laws banning interracial marriage — a decision in direct conflict with popular opinion — had a hand in it.

What do you think caused the shift? Post your thoughts below. And, just to see how Opinion L.A. readers break down:


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Comments
1.

TOMSAIL writes: "First there was Noah and the Great Flood, then there was was fire and brimstone for Sodom and Gomorrah. Now there is HIV/AIDS. What's next?

Woe to those who tempt the Lord with their wickedness!"

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Response
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This is utterly nauseating. The "sickness as punishment" attitude prevailed in past centuries, but is certainly no longer the belief of most ordinary, decent persons.

The HIV pandemic has decimated Africa, where it is spread almost entirely by heterosexual men and women. Do you believe that these people "tempted" the "Lord?"

PHILIP CHANDLER

2.

G.M. wrote: "Philip, thanks for posting. Your comment on the issue is brilliant, definitive and much appreciated. If you allow me, I'd like to copy your post to other blogs and spread the word."

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Response:
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Of course you may. I'm sorry that I overlooked your request. Please feel free to repost it on other blogs, together with my name...

Fond regards,

PHILIP CHANDLER

3.

First there was Noah and the Great Flood, then there was was fire and brimstone for Sodom and Gomorrah. Now there is HIV/AIDS. What's next?

Woe to those who tempt the Lord with their wickedness!

4.

We got married in SF in 2004; this is the last time I'm getting married (pre-November). I would like to quote John Lennon's God but if you already know it then you're qualified enough to know that I just believe in me, my partner and me, now that's reality. Things change people and either you change with them or you're unhinged entropic mystics.

No on Prop 8, the 14th century is over!

5.

Thanks for your response. I am afraid that your lambasting of the model of traditional marriage has not changed my views, and I am confident it doesn't alter the viewpoint of the silent majority. As you say, "marriage is a social and/or legal or religious process of establishing families." The nuclear family, consisting of mother, father, and possibly children, for centuries has been regarded as the fundamental unit of society. Legislation (and in particular legislation originating from the judicial branch of government) should not change that, regardless of how society "evolves" (for better or worse).

I was pleased with society's stance in the voter-determined outcome the last time we put it to a vote, and I look forward to success in the November election. "Yes on Proposition 8!"

6.

@ Spencer Ward --

Study history more. Marriage has, depending on culture and era, been a financially-based exchange of women (treated as property) between men of different families or tribes; the keeping of multiple women by one man; a permanent or temporary domestic arrangement between two or more adults; a householding arrangement between one man and one woman or between one man or woman and one third-gender person; or any number of other variations. The common thread is that marriage is a social and/or legal or religious process of establishing families.

Marriage has evolved, not through "redefinition" of a static institution but through natural social changes -- and this can mean improvement. Heterosexual marriage as now practiced in the U.S., as a relationship between two legal peers, is certainly preferable to older variations which make women subordinate. Opening up the legal institution of marriage to same-sex couples (the social and religious versions already being practiced by a large number of people) is just more progress towards a more equitable society.

And no, you're not being "persecuted" for your advocacy of a historically-ignorant heterosexual-supremacist model of marriage; you're being disagreed with in public. Hard as this may be for you to grasp, there's a difference.

7.

I am in favor of Proposition 8. Seems like that is a statement these days that causes persecution. My reasons, though, I will state openly. For thousands of years, marriage has been defined as between a man and a woman. That is the term for a normal, healthy, socially accepted union between a man and a woman. Sometimes it involved a church. Sometimes a justice of the peace. But it is traditional and accepted. Now people want to redefine marriage so that homosexual unions can be referenced by the media and be taught in schools and elsewhere as a substitute for that traditional and conventional concept of marriage. As a father of four young children, I am particularly concerned with the confusion that will arise as the homosexual minority erodes the definition of marriage at the confusion and expense of the general public.
Remarkably I am being classified as a bigot for my desire to defend something that nearly all cultures until now have taken for granted - the definition of marriage. Instead, I would say that I encourage men and women, regardless of race, to preserve the sacred institution of marriage. Let people choose how they wish to act in their private lives, but do not force society as a whole to adapt and embrace homosexual marriage.

8.

As a conservative (not a Republican) my view is that the government should have little interference with the lives of Americans. Thus, I feel the government should not even be allowed to pass a law banning gay marriage, because it is none of the government's business, if a man marries a man, or a woman marries a woman. So long as no children are involved, and no one is being forced, what gives the government a right to act as the moral authority over this state and even country. The fantastic thing about being an American is that we not only have laws which protect our way of life, but we even have laws protecting the lifestyles we may disagree with (to a certain extent).

9.

1. Tolerance.
"What happens with two consenting adults behind closed doors is nobody's business. You must tolerate me."

2. Acceptance.
"You must accept me as I am. It is natural, really it is or I wouldn't be this way." "It is not a choice."

3. Celebrate.
"I can have my own parade.' 'I can throw it in your face, I have a right to agitate you, to act-up!" (see item 1.)

Matrimony.
"We need to rewrite definitions so I can feel a part of...like being normal." "I want to have babies too...play house and wear a ring"

"if everyone including the basic institutions of approve of me I will finally feel legitimate, complete, a whole person."

What a load. Incrementally changing the landscape creating confusion. Accept the fact that it is a deviation from the norm-Don't try to sell it as normal and just the same as marriage between a woman and a man. If this were the natural order of things, we all wouldn't be here.

When put to a vote and the populous says votes a resounding NO, then what? Will all those loving 'married' couples act up in protest and burn their Barbara Streisand records? I don't think so. Maybe they will just be like the rest of us and accept their lot in life and just deal with it.

10.

Marriage is a civil contract by California statute and not a constitutional right.

The California Supreme Court stated that if California were to recognize marriage contracts under its statues, then it must not discriminate against same-sex couples under its equal protection clause.

Proposition 22: ‘Only marriage between a man and a woman is valid or recognized in California’ for the November ballot would change the California Constitution to 'define' the word marriage as between one man and one woman. It would not change the constitution to make marriage a legal right to opposite-sex couples nor would it change the equal protection clause of the constitution to permit discrimination against same-sex couples. I do not see where it would overturn the court’s decision which addresses and would continue to address discrimination between the parties of the legal marriage contract, regardless of the definition of the word marriage.

Contract law invalidates contracts that violate California statutes, making them null and void. The State of California may not pass or maintain statutes in its criminal or civil codes that violate its constitution. If Prop 22 passes, the word ‘marriage’ in and of itself would become discriminatory according to the Supreme Court. I believe the Californian Legislature would be required to nullify all marriage contracts and perhaps substitute the word ‘marriage’ for ‘civil union’ throughout its civil code.

For example, it would be feasible (albeit unlikely) to pass a constitutional amendment with virtually the same wording as Prop 22 stating ‘Only a business owned by a heterosexual male is valid or recognized in California.’ Under this type of scenario, businesses would either become; 1) only heterosexual-male owned, or 2) illegal. I believe it would be the latter as the scenario is clearly discriminatory and would require all business licenses within the state become null and void.

If my hypothesis is correct, Prop 22 could be a huge victory for same-sex couples nationwide by annulling California’s 15 percent of the nation’s marriages. At least, I would call it a victory. It could create havoc at the federal level for people who found themselves no longer married. They’d find the loss of benefits would include their spousal pension, social security, inheritance tax, convenience of filing joint tax returns, elimination of deductions for stay-at-home spouses, some health insurances and about 997 other benefits and rights. And many of them would deserve it too. I’m not sure how it would affect those with survivor spousal benefits, as they are no longer married, but it could sure make it difficult for people who became widowed after the November election.

I think the bigots should go for their amendment and dump a bunch of their money into getting it to pass. I’m thinking about voting with them this time because I don’t think we’ll win the marriage war until a big group of opposite-sex couples lose their benefits.

11.

Marrage is a legal not a religious one !!

1. The state sets the legal age to marry.
2. The state may require a blood test.
3. The state requires a marrage licience prior to marrage.
4. The state says who can legally proform a marrage.
5. The state requires two whittnesses.
6. The state says O.K. for marrages by a judge or justice- of-the-peace. (a priest or minister not required)
7. The state requires the person who proforms the
marrage to sign the licience.
8. The state can divorce, the church can annul.
9. The state requires the marrage to be recorded.

only a suggestion. Lets keep the word "marrage" and
the word "wedding" for the religious.

question. does some federal or international agreement
O.K. Canadian gay marrage in the USA??

12.

Philip: Yes, thank you. I agree with G.M.

13.

When the Massachusetts State Supreme Court ruled to legalize gay marriage in 2003 the towns & cities were given a few months until May 17, 2004 when gay marriage would go into effect. Of course Romney & his cronies tried everything to stop it but failed. Even after gay marriages were performed they tried to get an amendment on to the ballot until June 14th, 2007 when it was finally defeated in the State House. For those who are still uncomfortable with this check out our short produced to educate & defuse the controversy. It has a way of opening closed minds & provides some sanity on the issue: www.OUTTAKEonline.com

14.

I believe the tide is turning away from conservatism as the popularity of G . W. Bush and his corrupt cronies continues to falter close to single digits . People are tired of the self - righteous dictatorial Christian right and the power it has taken for granted in the past 7 years of this disastrous presidency . A similar amendment failed in Arizona and I believe it will fail here as well .

15.

Looks like I am getting married after 16 years

16.

It is about time!

Mass. did not fall off the earth when they assured marriage equality.

California will survive too, I promise!

17.

Philip, thanks for posting. Your comment on the issue is brilliant, definitive and much appreciated. If you allow me, I'd like to copy your post to other blogs and spread the word.

18.

I have been described by some people as a “gay rights activist,” so it will come as no surprise to read that I fully endorse and approve of the California Supreme Court’s decision to strike down the ban on gay marriage in that state. To those who argue that “unelected judges” have no place “usurping the will of the people,” I point out the following – nine unelected judges handed down a case in 1954 that changed the American legal landscape forever. I refer to the nine unelected Justices of the US Supreme Court, who handed down Brown v. Board of Education of Topeka, 347 U.S. 483 (1954), striking down the pernicious “separate but equal” doctrine and overruling Plessy v. Ferguson, 163 U.S. 537 (1896), thereby paving the way for racial integration across the country.

Those who oppose desegregation today are correctly viewed as racist bigots, and the “separate but equal” doctrine enunciated with approval in Plessy (supra) stands as a monument to national shame. The same tired arguments were made then as are made now – arguments to the effect that “unelected judges” should not “usurp the will of the people” and force social change on American society. Those arguments are baseless – the Justices are unelected, and have lifetime tenure with a guarantee that their wages cannot be reduced as long as they sit on the courts, precisely so as to insulate them from the will of the people, so as to permit them to interpret the US Constitution (and US statutes) free from concerns as to how such interpretations could impact (ruin) their careers. The Constitution vests in Article III judges broad powers of judicial review, recognized since the US Supreme Court handed down the landmark decision of Marbury v. Madison, 5 U.S. (1 Cranch) 137 (1803). In this decision, the Court made it unambiguously and explicitly clear that Article III judges possess this power, declaring that “It is emphatically the duty of the Judicial Department to say what the law is. Those who apply the rule to particular cases must, of necessity, expound and interpret the rule. If two laws conflict with each other, the Court must decide on the operation of each. If courts are to regard the Constitution, and the Constitution is superior to any ordinary act of the legislature, the Constitution, and not such ordinary act, must govern the case to which they both apply.”

This was not an act of “usurpation,” as so many social conservatives love to whine. This is a bedrock principle of constitutional law, and it would be remiss of the federal courts to shirk their responsibilities for fear of political fallout. While state court judges are usually elected (or, in some cases, appointed either by the governor or by committees of judges), they are the final arbiters of state constitutional interpretation, and the same principle applies to them. Those who argue that the California Supreme Court “usurped” the will of the people either forget, or fail to understand, that these judges are tasked with interpreting the state constitution and determining whether statutes challenged by plaintiffs are congruent with the state constitution. If a state statute violates one or more provisions of the state constitution, state court judges have the duty to strike down the state statute as violative of the state constitution. The Chief Justice of the California Supreme Court (Ronald M. George), who authored the majority opinion in in re Marriage Cases, S147999 (striking down the ban on gay marriages) is a conservative Republican appointee – certainly not somebody whose opinions in other areas of the court’s jurisprudence are regarded as radical or extreme. Yet he recognized the injustice implicit in the denial of marriage licenses to gay couples, and he (and three of his colleagues on the bench) held that the ban on gay marriage violated the California state constitution. Although he referenced decisions handed down by the US Supreme Court, he took pains not to place reliance on any of these decisions or to implicate these decisions in his analysis – he limited his analysis to interpretation of the due process and equal protection guarantees of the California state constitution (which contains an explicit privacy clause, unlike the US Constitution)., and limited his references to US Supreme Court cases to comparisons and analogous reasoning. This is crucial – under the US system of judicial federalism, the US Supreme Court may not review cases that are premised on state constitutional law and that place no reliance on US constitutional law or US statutory construction; the US Supreme Court may only review cases decided by state courts to the extent that those cases involve adjudication of provisions of the US Constitution or of US statutes. By taking pains not to place reliance on federal case law, the majority immunized this decision from further review by the US Supreme Court.

After an initial surge immediately following the release of this decision, support for a state constitutional amendment that would limit marriage to one man and one woman only, thus nullifying the state high court’s decision, is dropping and is continuing to fall. Quite simply, more and more Californians no longer regard gay marriage as loathsome or morally wrong – what is particularly striking about this attitudinal change is that it is definitely generational. Younger voters are much less likely to vote to deny gay couples the right to marry than are older voters. This finding was also observed in 2003 when the Supreme Judicial Court of Massachusetts (the state’s highest court) overturned the Massachusetts ban on gay marriage (see Goodridge v. Dept. of Public Health, 798 N.E.2d 941 (Mass. 2003)). Quite simply, the cancer of discrimination and bigotry is literally dying as more and more young people go to the polls and vote their policy preferences into law, and as more and more young people replace older voters.

Two down, with 48 to go.


PHILIP CHANDLER



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