Democrats: Last chance to be a delegate
California Democrats who aren't already some kind of super-duper delegate have until Wednesday at 5 p.m. to apply to become one of 241 delegates to the Democratic National Convention in Denver on August 25-28. Despite claims from both the Clinton and Obama camps that their side has the whole thing wrapped up, it is looking increasingly likely that any old off-the-street Democrat who scores a spot at the convention just may have some real power.
The district-level delegates are distributed among California's 53 congressional districts, with 134 going to Hillary Clinton (because she won 42 congressional districts on Feb. 5) and 107 going to Barack Obama (11 congressional districts). Delegates are divided by gender, as well; check here for the numbers.
So with all those Democrats who are sure to apply, who decides who gets to go to Denver? Democrats do -- any registered California Democrat can vote on Sunday, April 13 in caucuses held in each district. Separate caucuses for Hillary people and Barack people, of course.
Keep up to date with elections big and small at http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/elections/.
A mathematical possibility?
Rick Sloan, Communications Director for the International Machinists and
Aerospace Workers Union, today emailed this scenario to the media:
1247 Delegates: Hold on to the 1247 pledged delegates HRC has amassed since
January 3rd
1497: Maintain the support of the 250 super delegates who have endorsed her
candidacy already
1648: Add 151 pledged delegates to her total with ten point wins in
Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Kentucky and Puerto Rico
1860: Add another 122 pledged delegates by winning or placing a close second in
Guam, Indiana, North Carolina, Oregon, Montana and South Dakota
2046: Seat the Florida and Michigan delegations adding 186 pledged delegates to
her total
2095: By seating the Florida and Michigan delegations, she gains 49 uncommitted
delegates or super delegates
2215: Secure the votes of 120 of the 330 remaining super delegates to surpass
the 2208 delegates to be nominated
-- Rick Sloan, International Machinists and Aerospace Workers Union [Note: If
Florida and Michigan delegates are counted -- as Sloan does in the above
scenario -- the winning number grows to 2,208]
I say we are going to WIN!
**********************************************
Posted by: Jim | April 01, 2008 at 05:38 PM
It make a lots of IF and variables in your math Sloan she is not holding to her super delegate count so far she lost Spitzer due to is indiscretion she need a large victory in Pennsylvania to actually gain some ground and she is not going to get it Obama is closing in and I would not be surprised if that race end up with a 5 to 4 points spreads either way. That a lost for Hillary because she need a big large win so either way she done. Super delegate are not flocking to her side any time soon and they are flocking to Obama side right now. Those who already publicly supported Hillary are probably starting to think thing over so her SD numbers would probably start to drop sharply soon. In other words it over time to wrap this up!
http://ramblingjohnny22.blogspot.com/
Posted by: John Boston MA | April 02, 2008 at 01:09 PM
A mathematical possibility?
Rick Sloan, Communications Director for the International Machinists and
Aerospace Workers Union, today emailed this scenario to the media:
1247 Delegates: Hold on to the 1247 pledged delegates HRC has amassed since
January 3rd
1497: Maintain the support of the 250 super delegates who have endorsed her
candidacy already
1648: Add 151 pledged delegates to her total with ten point wins in
Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Kentucky and Puerto Rico
1860: Add another 122 pledged delegates by winning or placing a close second in
Guam, Indiana, North Carolina, Oregon, Montana and South Dakota
2046: Seat the Florida and Michigan delegations adding 186 pledged delegates to
her total
2095: By seating the Florida and Michigan delegations, she gains 49 uncommitted
delegates or super delegates
2215: Secure the votes of 120 of the 330 remaining super delegates to surpass
the 2208 delegates to be nominated
-- Rick Sloan, International Machinists and Aerospace Workers Union [Note: If
Florida and Michigan delegates are counted -- as Sloan does in the above
scenario -- the winning number grows to 2,208]
I say we are going to WIN!
**********************************************
Posted by: Jim | April 04, 2008 at 05:53 PM
It won't matter who I vote for if Obama gets the nomination.
He'll lose by a landslide.
I will vote for every Democrat I can, but if Obama's the candidate, I'll vote for McCain, just like many other Clinton supporters will.
I have many reasons.
Here are just a few.
1. I believe that Obama is incompetent and not qualified to be President.
2. In protest to the tactics of Obama supporters viciously attacking anyone who posts anything that causes Obama's divinity into question.
3. In honor of the people who suffered and died in "Obama's Slums"
There are many more reasons.
Those are just the first few that come to mind.
Posted by: Jim | April 05, 2008 at 05:42 AM
It won't matter who I vote for if Obama gets the nomination.
He'll lose by a landslide.
I will vote for every Democrat I can, but if Obama's the candidate, I'll vote for McCain, just like many other Clinton supporters will.
I have many reasons.
Here are just a few.
1. I believe that Obama is incompetent and not qualified to be President.
2. In protest to the tactics of Obama supporters viciously attacking anyone who posts anything that causes Obama's divinity into question.
3. In honor of the people who suffered and died in "Obama's Slums"
There are many more reasons.
Those are just the first few that come to mind.
Posted by: Jim | April 06, 2008 at 08:29 AM